​​​​​​​Panorama of the week... Turkish intentions behind the mercenary fighting in Afrin

The fighting between Turkish occupation mercenaries continued in Afrin over the past week, confirming reports that there are Turkish intentions behind the fighting, most notably the preparations for negotiations with Damascus.

Over the past week, Arab newspapers have focused on the ongoing fighting between Turkish occupation mercenaries in the north of Syria.

Any scheme Turkey draws in northern Syria

Starting from Syrian affairs, in this context, the newspaper Al-Arab said: "The areas of control of Turkish forces in northern Syria are undergoing a change in the influence map with the entry of HTS (formerly the Jabhet al- Nusra) following internal fighting between local factions loyal to Ankara, while analysts assert that HTS would not have entered the area without the consent of the Turks, raising questions about Turkish intentions."

Observers say that "the change in the control map in the north of Syria is taking place under the attention of Turkish forces in the region, which moved Tuesday and sent military vehicles to the region in an effort to support their allies."

According to the newspaper, "During the past days, there has been no interference or pressure from Turkey to stop the fighting and to prevent Hayat Tahrir al-Sham from controlling the areas (Syrian National Army), even though the latter is supported by them."

According to political analyst Saddam Al-Jasser, "Turkey is in the interest of having a single actor in control of the region. ", especially if this entity possesses a discipline and is centralized by the work and imbalance therein and in its structure less than others, this enables them to control more than many factions. most of them are hostile to the other, and this is what Turkey found in HTS.”

Al-Jasser adds that "Tahrir al-Sham is able to meet Turkish interests in the north of Syria during the next phase, more than the rival factions", pointing out that the silence of the "interim government" and the "opposition coalition" about what is going on, "praises a clear Turkish desire for what is happening."

"There is still a lack of clarity about the fighting in the north. The fighting has not yet been resolved and the situation may need several more days to become clearer, but on the other hand there is a Turkish desire for HTS to control this area. Turkish plans need a strong security and military arm to implement it, which is available in HTS."

The newspaper linked this to the planned negotiations between the Government of Damascus and the Turkish occupation, saying: "The messages of rapprochement between Turkey and President Bashar al-Assad's regime in Damascus have recently accelerated, after Ankara expressed its willingness to open up to the Government of Damascus and engage in dialogue with it."

In this context, analysts consider that HTS's control of the area facilitates any future negotiation process with the Government of Damascus, because negotiation in this case would be with a homogenous bloc that would actually acquiesce to international variables, despite its opposition to them in public, as in the earlier Astana and Sochi understandings. "

"The most significant consequence of this fighting is the current weakening of the 3rd Corps and the transfer of the area to the control of HTS, Hamza and Suleiman Shah divisions, which facilitates any compromise with the Government of Damascus."

T/ Satt.


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